Market Happenings:
More Bad Data : Industrial production fell -0.5% worse than expected, while capacity utilization stumbled to 80.9, an over 2-yr low. The measures for Feb offer further concern over recession, with the market leaning more toward the "we're there" camp versus the "are we there yet" crew. The market is well aware of the deteriorating situation in manufacturing, further bolstered by the awful NY report earlier, and within the current environment, only big, serious numbers getting much play. With the Bear Sterns debacle over the weekend, investor capital is seeking safety with Treasuries as well as Agency paper heavy on the bid side. FNMA 5.50% are up 20 ticks (+20/32) so far in choppy but positive trade. Expect lender ratesheet pricing to rebound by up to 60 bps today.
Industry News:
JPMorgan Chase to Buy Bear Stearns
JPMorgan Chase has made plans to acquire the Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. - and has gotten up to $30 billion in special financing from the Federal Reserve to do it - in the wake of severe liquidity woes at Bear. The deal is a stock-for-stock exchange in which the former company will exchange 0.05473 of its common shares per one share of Bear Stearns' stock based on a March 15 closing price of about $2 per share. The Fed said it would fund up to $30 billion of Bear's less liquid assets in the transaction.
HUD Issues Bold RESPA Proposal
The Department of Housing and Urban Development has issued its long-awaited RESPA reform proposal, and it is more ambitious than the industry expected or wants to implement during the current market turmoil. Most observers expected HUD to issue a Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act proposal narrowly focused on providing consumers with concise and understandable disclosures of loan terms and settlement costs. However, HUD has "cast a wider net," according to RESPA attorney Phillip Schulman, who says the RESPA proposal is "complicated," "confusing," and "controversial." The RESPA proposal mandates the use of a standardized four-page good faith estimate that discloses loan terms and settlement costs, including the mortgage broker's compensation. HUD also wants the closing agent to read a closing scripting that summarizes important loan terms and highlights differences between the GFE and the HUD-1 settlement sheet. HUD Assistant Secretary Brian Montgomery expects industry opposition, but he told reporters it is "no longer acceptable" for industry to stand in the way of giving consumers clear disclosures. HUD has issued the proposal for a 60-day comment period. Seven major financial services trade groups, including the American Bankers Association and the Mortgage Bankers Association, have asked HUD to extend the comment period to 120 days.
Freddie Seeks Appraisal Comments
Freddie Mac is seeking public comments until April 30 on the appraisal policies it agreed to implement as part of a settlement with New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are slated to implement the new appraisal code by Jan. 1 under the March 3 settlement with Mr. Cuomo. "To implement the Code with minimum disruption to the market and, as required under the agreement, Freddie Mac is requesting comments on operational and implementation issues, as well as unintended consequences or risks you identify in connection with the requirements of the Code," Freddie said. The agreement bars Freddie and Fannie from purchasing mortgages from lenders that use in-house appraisers or subsidiary appraisal firms. On brokered loans, lenders must certify that the mortgage broker did not select the appraiser.
This Week's Calendar:
Misc: Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised From Mar 17 08:30 NY Empire State Index Mar -22.2 -8.0 -7.4 -11.7 Mar 17 09:00 Net Foreign Purchases Jan $62.0B NA $60.0B $56.5B Mar 17 09:15 Industrial Production Feb -0.5% -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% Mar 17 09:15 Capacity Utilization Feb 80.9% 81.2% 81.3% 81.5% Mar 18 08:30 Housing Starts Feb 980K 995K 1012K Mar 18 08:30 Building Permits Feb 1010K 1020K 1061K Mar 18 08:30 PPI Feb 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% Mar 18 08:30 Core PPI Feb 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% Mar 18 14:15 FOMC Policy Statement Mar 19 10:30 Crude Inventories 03/15 NA NA 6177K Mar 20 08:30 Initial Claims 03/15 355K 360K 353K Mar 20 10:00 Leading Indicators Feb -0.2% -0.3% -0.1% Mar 20 10:00 Philadelphia Fed Mar -20.0 -18.0 -24.0
Date
ET
Release
For
Actual
Briefing.com
Consensus
Prior
Revised From
Mar 17
08:30
NY Empire State Index
Mar
-22.2
-8.0
-7.4
-11.7
09:00
Net Foreign Purchases
Jan
$62.0B
NA
$60.0B
$56.5B
09:15
Industrial Production
Feb
-0.5%
-0.1%
0.1%
Capacity Utilization
80.9%
81.2%
81.3%
81.5%
Mar 18
Housing Starts
980K
995K
1012K
Building Permits
1010K
1020K
1061K
PPI
0.3%
1.0%
Core PPI
0.2%
0.4%
14:15
FOMC Policy Statement
Mar 19
10:30
Crude Inventories
03/15
6177K
Mar 20
Initial Claims
355K
360K
353K
10:00
Leading Indicators
-0.2%
-0.3%
Philadelphia Fed
-20.0
-18.0
-24.0
-- On Today’s date in A.D. 461 (or A.D. 493, according to other authorities), St. Patrick, the patron saint of Ireland, died in Saul.
-- On Today’s date in 1966, a U.S. midget submarine located a missing hydrogen bomb which had fallen from an American bomber into the Mediterranean off Spain.
-- Today Singer-songwriter John Sebastian (The Lovin' Spoonful) is 64. The Lovin Spoonful
Thanks for your business!
Todd Albrigo
Account Executive
CMG Mortgage, Inc.
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